10/6/23

In my project, I embarked on an exploration of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) dataset, specifically focusing on diabetes, obesity, and physical inactivity rates in US counties for the year 2018. From the outset, it became evident that the relationships between these health indicators were complex and non-linear, challenging the utility of traditional linear regression models.

To better capture these intricate interactions, I turned to polynomial regression, which allowed me to introduce polynomial terms into the model. This approach was instrumental in revealing hidden patterns within the data, shedding light on inflection points and trends that linear models couldn’t uncover. It emphasized the need for specialized strategies to comprehend the complex nature of these variables, with potential implications for public health interventions and policy-making.

However, the power of polynomial regression was further enhanced when coupled with K-fold cross-validation. This technique ensured the reliability and robustness of our models. By dividing the dataset into K subsets and repeatedly training and validating the model, K-fold cross-validation provided a more comprehensive understanding of the data’s complexities.

overall, my journey with the CDC dataset underscored the critical role of statistical methods like polynomial regression and K-fold cross-validation when dealing with intricate variables such as obesity, inactivity, and diabetes. By recognizing non-linear interactions, the combined power of these techniques allowed for a deeper and more accurate understanding of the data. These tools have proven invaluable in navigating the intricacies of the dataset, leading to more meaningful insights with potential implications for public health strategies.

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